Arouca vs Vitoria Guimarães Match Prediction

TABLE WITH ODDS OF POPULAR BOOKMAKERS

Bookmakers	1	X	2	Under 2.5	Over 2.5
	2.869	3.5	2.395	1.89	1.92	Bonus	400$
	2.865	3.48	2.39	1.885	1.912	Bonus	90€
	2.835	3.48	2.43	1.909	1.9	Bonus	+100%
	2.8	3.3	2.32	1.88	1.85	Bonus	100%
	2.865	3.48	2.39	1.885	1.912	Bonus	300€

Arouca and Vitoria Guimarães are two well-known Portuguese teams, whose rivalry is always of great interest to football fans. Last season, both teams showed good results in the Portuguese championship, taking place in the middle of the standings. The upcoming match will be an opportunity for them to successfully start the new season and immediately declare their ambitions.

Odds for the match Arouca – Vitoria Guimarães

Bookmakers see a slight advantage for the visitors in this match, offering odds of 2.32 to 2.395 on their victory. The success of the home team is estimated at odds in the range of 2.75 – 2.869, while the probability of a draw ranges from 3.25 – 3.5.

Interestingly, the spread of odds on the main outcomes is not that big. This suggests that bookmakers expect a rather competitive match, where the chances of the opponents are not very different. Vitoria looks slightly more favourable due to the higher class of players and more experience, but Arouca on their field can give a fight to the opponent.

Prediction for the match Arouca – Vitoria Guimarães

“Arouca finished the championship in 7th place, showing an unstable game in the end. The team lacked balance in defence and sharpness in attack. In the off-season, the club needs to establish teamwork to consolidate in the middle of the table.

“Vitoria Guimarães, who finished fifth and qualified for the Conference League, also alternated between successes and failures. Victories over Porto and Arouca were followed by defeats to Sporting and Braga. The team’s defence was not always reliable.

In the face-to-face confrontation, history suggests a slight advantage of “Arouca” (9 wins against 4). But recently the initiative has shifted to “Vitoria”, who beat the opponent twice last season. It should not be overlooked that in the last 6 matches between the clubs have consistently scored 2+ goals.

Considering the statistics of face-to-face meetings, the attacking potential of the teams and their tournament motivation at the start of the season, we can expect a “top” match with mutual chances of success. The best option is a bet on Total over (2.5) with odds of 1.8-1.92. For the prediction of the outcome, the victory of “Vitoria Guimarães” looks more favourable, accounting for the higher class of the team and the results of the last season.

Recent official meetings

Arouca

“Arouca finished last season in the Primera Division with mixed success. The team from the city of the same name showed quite a confident game, or failed in individual matches. Such fluctuations did not allow Arouca to qualify for the European Cup places in the standings.

In the final stretch of the championship, Arouca scored three important victories over Braga (0:3), Boavista (2:1) and Farense (2:1). These successes helped the team to maintain the final seventh place in the elite division. However, four defeats in the last four matches of the season against Moreirense, Benfica, Sporting and Vitoria Guimarães have left an unpleasant residue.

The 5-0 home defeat to Benfica was particularly disappointing. Such failures in defence will certainly be a reason for a serious mid-season review. “Arouca need to find a balance between attacking and defensive play.

The performance of the forwards is also questionable. At the end of the season, Arouca had three consecutive draws – 0-0 with Estrela, 2-2 with Gil Vicente and 1-1 with Rio Ave. The team clearly lacked sharpness and creativity up front.

In the new season, Arouca will have the task of securing a place in the middle of the Primera Division standings. For this purpose, it is necessary to establish teamwork in both defence and attack.

Vitoria Guimarães

“Vitoria Guimarães finished last season in the Portuguese Primera with mixed success. The team, based in the city of the same name, played several bright matches, but at the same time allowed offensive misfires. However, the team finished in fifth place and managed to qualify for the Conference League.

Among the club’s successes at the end of the league it is worth noting the victories over Arouca (1:3), Boavista (1:0), Porto (1:2) and Moreirenci (1:0). The away triumph over Dragons was particularly impressive, proving that Vitoria can give a fight to any opponent in the league.

On the other hand, the defeat to Sporting (3-0) and the fiasco in a crucial derby with Braga (2-3) exposed the problems in the team. In defence, Vitoria sometimes makes too many mistakes, which leads to conceded goals.

The Portuguese Cup has not turned out in the best way for the club. In the semi-final clash with Porto, the team from Guimarães lost both away (3:1) and at home (0:1).

History of head-to-head confrontations

“Vitoria Guimarães” and “Arouca” are two teams familiar with each other from meetings in the Portuguese championship. Their rivalry is 18 matches long.

The statistics show that Arouca has a slight advantage in head-to-head meetings, with 9 wins against Vitoria’s 4. In addition, Arouca have scored a total of 26 goals, while their opponents have scored only 21 times.

However, there has been a recent turnaround in Vitoria’s favour. In the 2023/2024 season, the Guimarães-based club beat Arouca twice, first 2-1 at home and then 3-1 away.

It is interesting to note that in the last six matches between these teams, at least two goals have been scored consistently.

In the upcoming game, Arouca will try to take revenge for two defeats last season and confirm their status as an “uncomfortable” opponent for Vitoria. In turn, the club from Guimarães will make every effort to continue their winning streak and start the new championship on a positive note.

Predictions for Liga Portugal matches

All predictions for Liga Portugal matches can be found in the section «Liga Portugal Predictions».