Braga vs Estrela Match Prediction
TABLE WITH ODDS OF POPULAR BOOKMAKERS
“Braga and Estrela are two teams with different objectives and ambitions for the upcoming season, which will play each other in the first round of the new Portuguese league season. While Braga is aiming to fight for the highest places, Estrela’s main goal will be to maintain their place in the elite division.
Odds for Braga vs Estrela
The hosts are considered clear favourites for this clash, as the bookmaker quotes directly indicate. The odds on Braga’s victory range from 1.35 to 1.41, while Estrela’s success is estimated at 7 – 7.1. The bookmakers see a draw as unlikely, with odds ranging from 4.5 to 4.95.
The odds are so low on the home team due to several factors. Braga fought for the highest places last season and has a well-balanced squad. Estrela, on the other hand, is considered one of the main outsiders in the league, and it will be extremely difficult for them to counter Braga.
It is interesting to look at the total quotes. Most betting shops do not believe in the low performance of the match and give quite high odds for total under (2.5) – from 2.32 to 2.37. But the odds on total over (2.5) are much more modest – in the range of 1.5-1.53. It looks like bookmakers are expecting Estrela to be defeated, due to their status as a clear underdog.
Braga vs Estrela Match Prediction
“Braga”, which is one of the favourites for the Portuguese championship, will seek to start the new season with a convincing victory. Last season, the Gunners finished fourth in the Primera Division, securing a place in the Europa League. The team has a well-balanced squad and a formidable attacking line-up, as demonstrated at the end of last season.
On the other hand, Estrela is a typical underdog, having struggled to avoid relegation last season. The club from Amadora had serious problems with the realisation of chances, often ending matches with a draw. However, despite their modest attacking options, the Tricolore boast an organised defence.
Bookmakers have no doubts about Braga’s victory, offering odds in the range of 1.35-1.41. Estrela’s chances are estimated much more modestly – from 7 to 7.1. Analysts also expect a productive match, giving odds of 1.5-1.53 on total over (2.5).
Given the difference in class between the teams, their current form and the history of head-to-head encounters, Braga’s victory is the most likely outcome. The club from the city of the same name has all the necessary qualities to succeed in the opening match of the season. At the same time, a high-scoring scenario cannot be ruled out, given the hosts’ attacking potential and Estrela’s defensive problems.
Final prediction: Braga -1.5 for 2.05.
Recent official meetings
Braga
“Braga” approaches the new season with the rank of one of the favourites of the Portuguese championship. Last season, the club from the city of the same name fought for medals to the last minute, finishing in fourth place.
At the end of the season, the Gunners scored several important victories over direct rivals Vitoria Guimarães (2:3) and Casa Pia (4:3). These results helped the team to secure a place in the Europa League in the new season. However, Braga still lost the race for medals, as evidenced by defeats to Porto (0-1) and Benfica (3-1).
Although there are some localised setbacks, Braga’s attacking line left a very favourable impression. The forwards scored striking victories over Portimonense (3:5) and Casa Pia (4:3). And the defence of the Gunners in general looked quite reliable, as evidenced by the matches against Vizela (2:1) and Estoril (0:1).
Perhaps the only Braga defeat at the end of the championship that does not fit into logic is the 0:3 defeat to Aroca. Such slumps must be eliminated to seriously compete for the championship title.
Date | Tournament | Opponent | Result |
---|---|---|---|
19.05.24 | Portuguese Championship | Porto | 0:1 Defeat |
12.05.24 | Portuguese Championship | Vitoria Guimarães | 2:3 Victory |
05.05.24 | Portuguese Championship | Casa Pia | 4:3 Victory |
27.04.24 | Portuguese Championship | Benfica | 3:1 Defeat |
21.04.24 | Portuguese Championship | Vizela | 2:1 Victory |
14.04.24 | Portuguese Championship | Estoril | 0:1 Victory |
06.04.24 | Portuguese Championship | Aroca | 0:3 Defeat |
02.04.24 | Portuguese Championship | Portimonensi | 3:5 Victory |
16.03.24 | Portuguese Championship | Vicente lived | 2:1 Victory |
09.03.24 | Portuguese Championship | Rio Ave | 0:0 Draw |
Estrela
“Last season, Estrela from Amador managed to stay in the elite only in the final rounds. The team was in the relegation zone for a long time, but eventually avoided relegation. The gap to relegated Portimonense was only one point.
In the spring part of the championship, the Tricolore scored a crucial victory over direct rival Gil Vicente (1-0). This success became decisive in the fight for survival. However, defeats to Farense (0:3) and especially the defeat to Vizela (4:0) got on the nerves of the club’s fans.
Estrela’s biggest problem at the end of the season was the disastrous realisation of chances. In six matches, the team ended with a 0-0 draw with Aroca, 1-1 with Boavista, 2-2 with Rio Ave and Moreirenci, and 0-0 with Famalicão. The Tricolore forwards needed to improve their sharpness and creativity.
Against the backdrop of problems in attack, Estrela’s defence was generally quite reliable. Except for the matches against Farense and Vizela, the defence of the club from Amadora did not fail. Considering the tricolores’ modest attacking capabilities, the defensive organisation of the game is encouraging before the start of the new season.
Date | Tournament | Opponent | Result |
---|---|---|---|
18.05.24 | Portuguese Championship | Vicente lived | 1:0 Victory |
11.05.24 | Portuguese Championship | Vizela | 4:0 Defeat |
05.05.24 | Portuguese Championship | Aroca | 0:0 Draw |
30.04.24 | Portuguese Championship | Farense | 0:3 Defeat |
20.04.24 | Portuguese Championship | Boavista | 1:1 Draw |
14.04.24 | Portuguese Championship | Rio Ave | 2:2 Draw |
07.04.24 | Portuguese Championship | Moreirense | 2:2 Draw |
30.03.24 | Portuguese Championship | Sporting | 1:2 Defeat |
16.03.24 | Portuguese Championship | Famalicão | 0:0 Draw |
09.03.24 | Portuguese Championship | Casa Pia | 3:1 Victory |
History of head-to-head confrontations
“Braga and Estrela have already played 38 matches in various tournaments. Despite Braga being the more established team, Estrela has proven time and again that they can take on the favourite.
Braga leads the overall statistics with 14 wins against Estrela’s 9. The club from Braga also surpasses its rival in the number of goals scored – 46 against 38. However, the difference in the average number of goals per match is not so great: 1.21 for Braga versus 1.00 for Estrela.
In recent head-to-head encounters, Braga has looked favourable. In September 2023, they won a 4-2 victory and in March 2024, they defeated Estrela 3-0 at home.
However, do not write off Estrela. The team from Amadora is renowned for its fighting character and ability to tune up for matches against the giants. Estrela managed to defeat Braga 1-0 in the 2008 cup final.
Date | Tournament | Winner | Account |
---|---|---|---|
03.03.24 | Portuguese Championship | Braga | 3:0 |
29.09.23 | Portuguese Championship | Braga | 2:4 |
14.07.21 | Friendly match | Tie | 0:0 |
09.03.09 | Portuguese Championship | Tie | 2:2 |
28.10.08 | Portuguese Championship | Braga | 5:0 |
02.02.08 | Portuguese Championship | Tie | 1:1 |
20.01.08 | Portuguese Cup | Estrela | 1:0 |
01.09.07 | Portuguese Championship | Braga | 2:1 |
27.02.07 | Portuguese Championship | Braga | 2:1 |
23.09.06 | Portuguese Championship | Tie | 0:0 |
Predictions for Liga Portugal matches
All predictions for Liga Portugal matches can be found in the section «Liga Portugal Predictions».