Chelsea vs Manchester City Match Prediction

TABLE WITH ODDS OF POPULAR BOOKMAKERS

Bookmakers	1	X	2	Under 2.5	Over 2.5
	3.845	4.22	1.892	2.59	1.44	Bonus	+100%
	3.65	3.85	1.79	2.70	1.43	Bonus	100%
	3.6	4.06	1.89	2.59	1.44	Bonus	90€
	3.85	3.9	1.88	2.55	1.49	Bonus	+500%
	3.6	4.06	1.89	2.59	1.44	Bonus	300€

The central match of the first round of the English Premier League season 2024/25 will be the confrontation at Stamford Bridge. Chelsea will take on reigning champions Manchester City.

For Chelsea, the upcoming game is a great chance to assert their title claims. Manchester City, on the other hand, approach the start of the season as the main favourites. Pep Guardiola’s team once again demonstrated top-level football last season. “Citizens” do not intend to slow down and are eager to defend the title.

Odds for Chelsea vs Manchester City

Bookmakers favour the reigning champion. The odds of a win for the Citizens range from 1.79 to 1.89, indicating their status as favourites. “Josep Guardiola’s City, equipped with a whole host of world-class stars, looks more powerful on paper and will try to take three points away from Stamford Bridge.

However, Chelsea’s chances of a home triumph are also rated quite high. The odds of the Blues’ success are in the range of 3.6 – 3.85. Mauricio Pochettino’s team has seriously strengthened in the off-season and is eager to prove that it can fight for the highest places. The home walls and the support of the fans will be important trump cards for Chelsea in this match.

Bookmakers consider the probability of a draw to be almost the same as a win for the home team. Quotes for a draw are 3.8 – 4.06.

Chelsea vs Manchester City Match Prediction

Reigning champions Manchester City are rightly considered the favourites for the meeting. Pep Guardiola’s team finished last season on a phenomenal note, winning 8 out of 10 matches and scoring an average of more than 3 goals per game.

However, Chelsea should not be written off either. “The Blues also had a great end of the season, winning 6 times in 10 rounds. On their home ground, with the rabid support of the Stamford Bridge stands, Chelsea will try to give a fight to the champion and prove that they are ready to join the championship race.

The history of head-to-head confrontations, oddly enough, suggests that the teams are roughly equal, despite City’s hegemony in recent years. In 180 matches, Chelsea has 71 wins against 67 for the Citizens. Yes, in the last 10 meetings, Manchester City has a solid advantage (7 wins against 1 for the Blues).

Considering all the factors, we expect a hard-fought, double-edged match with plenty of chances. Manchester City will have the initiative, but Chelsea will attack with sharp counterattacks. The final score will largely depend on the realisation and reliability of the goalkeepers. A draw is also not excluded – Stamford Bridge has always been an uncomfortable away game for City.

Recent official meetings

Chelsea

Chelsea ended the 2023/24 Premier League season on a major note with an impressive run of results. In the last ten matches, the Blues have won six, drawn twice and suffered only two defeats.

Maurizio Sarri’s side showed bright and effective football at the end of the championship. Big wins over Everton (6:0), West Ham (5:0) and Nottingham Forest (3:2) became a real jewel of the season for Chelsea fans. The team demonstrated an attacking style of play and scored a lot of goals, which could not but please the fans.

Worth noting are the important wins over direct rivals Brighton (2-1) and Tottenham (2-0).

The only serious disappointment was a major defeat to Arsenal with a score of 0:5. In this match, the Blues looked helpless and failed to provide worthy resistance to one of the league leaders.

The performance in the FA Cup was not so successful – Chelsea lost to Manchester City in the semi-finals with a score of 0:1. However, the very fact of reaching the semi-finals of the prestigious tournament can be considered an achievement.

Manchester City

Manchester City ended the 2023/24 season triumphantly, once again winning the Premier League title. Pep Guardiola’s team showed phenomenal play at the end of the season, winning almost all matches.

In the last ten meetings, the Citizens have won eight times, drawn once and lost only once. Manchester City have torn apart their opponents, scoring an average of more than three goals per match. Major victories over West Ham (3:1), Fulham (4:0), Wolverhampton (5:1), Brighton (4:0) and Luton Town (5:1) were a vivid confirmation of the absolute superiority of the “citizens” over the rest of the Premier League.

The only serious disappointment for Manchester City was the defeat to Manchester United in the FA Cup final. “Citizens” lost to their principal rivals with a score of 1:2, missing the opportunity to make a “golden double”. However, this loss could not overshadow the overall impression of a brilliant season.

Manchester City’s performance in the Champions League is also worth noting. The team reached the quarter-finals of the prestigious tournament, where they lost to Real Madrid in a dramatic encounter only in a penalty shootout. This result once again confirmed the status of the Citizens as one of the strongest clubs in Europe.

The title was a well-deserved honour for Manchester City and its fans. The club once again confirmed its status as a dominant force in English football and set the bar incredibly high for its rivals.

History of head-to-head confrontations

Over the last 10 matches between Chelsea and Manchester City, you can see the advantage of the Citizens. Manchester City have 7 wins, Chelsea have won once, and 2 games have ended in a draw.

Manchester City’s FA Cup victories in April 2024 (1-0) and January 2023 (4-0) were particularly important. “The Citizens” managed to beat their principal rival in the decisive matches and advance further in the tournament.

Manchester City’s successes in the Premier League are also worth noting. In May 2023, the Citizens minimally defeated Chelsea (1-0), and in January 2023 and September 2021, they won 1-0 home victories.

However, Chelsea have also had their moments of triumph. In the Champions League final in May 2021, the Blues beat Manchester City 1-0 to win the prestigious trophy. Also in November 2023, the teams played an entertaining 4-4 draw in the Premier League.

Turning to the overall history of the rivalry, we can say that Chelsea and Manchester City have roughly equal performances. Out of 180 matches, Chelsea have won 71 times, while Manchester City have won 67 times. The difference in goals scored is minimal: 247 for Chelsea against 243 for Manchester City.

On average, Chelsea scored 1.37 goals per match, while Manchester City scored 1.35. These figures confirm that historically the teams have shown equal strength in head-to-head meetings.

Predictions for Premier League matches

All predictions for English league matches can be found in the section «Premier League Predictions».