Genoa vs Inter Match Prediction

TABLE WITH ODDS OF POPULAR BOOKMAKERS

Bookmakers	1	X	2	Under 2.5	Over 2.5
	5.00	3.85	1.63	1.88	1.87	Bonus	100%
	5.2	3.8	1.67	1.89	1.89	Bonus	+500%
	5.6	4.1	1.6	1.98	1.82	Bonus	300$
	5.32	4.075	1.717	1.976	1.964	Bonus	400$
	5.1	3.92	1.656	1.904	1.896	Bonus	90€

“Genoa and Inter open the new Serie A season with a match at the Stadio Luigi Ferraris. It is the first official game for both teams after the summer break and they are determined to start the season with a positive result.

“Genoa” last season struggled for high places – in the end finished in the middle of the standings. Alberto Gilardino’s team showed a nice attacking football and gave a fight to the giants, but sometimes it lacked stability and experience. Now the Gryphons face the task of making a step forward and fighting for European Cup positions.

“Inter, for their part, won the long-awaited Scudetto in the last championship. Simone Inzaghi’s men were head and shoulders above their rivals and rightfully deserved the title. The Nerazzurri are now intending to defend their title to once again delight their fans with their engaging and effective football.

Odds for the match Genoa – Inter

Analysing the odds for the match between Genoa and Inter shows a clear advantage for the visitors. Inter are the clear favourites with odds of 1.63-1.717. Genoa are the clear outsiders, with odds on their victory ranging from 4.75 to 5.6.

The draw is priced at odds of 3.75-4.075, making it more likely than a Genoa win, but significantly less likely than an Inter win.

Prediction for the match Genoa – Inter

Given the impressive head-to-head record and the big difference in class between the teams, Inter’s victory is the most likely outcome of the match. “The Nerazzurri are superior to Genoa in all aspects and are likely to succeed even in a foreign field.

The current form of the team is also in Inter’s favour. Simone Inzaghi’s men were brilliant at the end of last season, scoring several brilliant victories and securing the championship ahead of schedule. Even considering the off-season and possible rotation of the squad, the Milan club looks head and shoulders above their opponents.

“Genoa will certainly try to give a fight to the reigning champions and use the factor of their field. Alberto Gilardino’s team can create problems for Inter’s defence with their quick flanks and combinative play in the centre of the pitch. However, to take points away from the Nerazzurri, the Genoa side will need to play to the limit and hope for a misfire from the favourites.

The most realistic scoreline seems to be a 0:2 or 1:3 win for Inter. The Milanese will try to seize the initiative from the very first minute and gain a comfortable advantage. Genoa may score a prestige goal at the end of the match – the Genoese can hardly expect more.

Recent official meetings

Genoa

In the last 10 matches, Alberto Gilardino’s men have won 4 wins, drawn four times and suffered only 2 defeats. These statistics show that Genoa are on the rise and have the necessary potential to fight for the top places.

“The gryphons managed to beat tough Sassuolo (2-1), Cagliari (3-0) and Verona (2-1), demonstrating attractive attacking football. Gilardino’s team combined well in midfield, created urgency on the flanks and converted their chances.

Despite this, they were not without misfires. Defeats to Roma (0:1) and Lazio (0:1) showed that Genoa are not yet ready to fight on equal terms with top Serie A clubs. In these matches, the Griffins lacked the experience and class to face more sophisticated opponents.

However, even in the lost games the Genoese looked decent and fought until the final whistle. Draws with AC Milan (3-3), Fiorentina (1-1), Frosinone (1-1) and Juventus (0-0) confirmed that Genoa are a tough nut to crack the nerves of any opponent.

Inter

“Inter ended the 2023/24 Serie A season with a 2-2 draw against Verona, but this result could not spoil the impression of the Nerazzurri’s powerful finishing spurt. Simone Inzaghi’s men showed character and class at the end of the championship, winning the championship.

In the last 10 matches, Inter have won 5 times, drawn 4 times and suffered only one defeat. These statistics show that the Milan club is in great shape and has serious ambitions for the future.

The Nerazzurri’s winning streak in April was particularly impressive. Inzaghi’s team defeated Frosinone (5-0), beat AC Milan in the Milan derby (2-1), as well as defeated Torino (2-0) and Udinese (2-1). In these matches, Inter has demonstrated excellent football by combining high pressing, quick transitions out from defence into attack and a focus on the opponent’s goal.

The only spoonful of honey was the home defeat to Sassuolo (0:1). In this match, the Nerazzurri looked a little tired and failed to find the keys to the opponent’s goal. However, even in this meeting, Milan possessed territorial and game advantage, just luck was on the side of the Neroverdi.

Inter continued to pick up points at the end of the season with 1-1 draws with Lazio and 2-2 draws with Verona, as well as 1-1 draws with Napoli and 2-2 draws with Cagliari.

History of head-to-head confrontations

An analysis of the last 10 head-to-head meetings between Genoa and Inter shows the complete dominance of the Milan club. “Neradzurri” won 8 matches out of 10, and 6 times they did it with a big score – 4:0, 3:0, 0:2, 0:3, 0:4 and 5:0. Only twice have Genoa managed to avoid defeat by drawing 1-1 in December 2023 and 0-0 in February 2022.

In the last meeting so far in March 2024, Inter were again stronger, although not without difficulty – 2:1. It is noteworthy that the Milanese beat Genoa both home and away, demonstrating their superiority in class regardless of the venue of the match.

If we consider the entire history of the confrontation between these teams, Inter’s advantage looks undeniable. In 149 matches, the Nerazzurri have won 73 games, while Genoa have won only 40. At the same time, the Milanese have scored 259 goals, while the Genoese have scored 185.

The average efficiency of matches between Genoa and Inter is 2.98 goals per game. Inter have an average of 1.74 goals per game, while Genoa have an average of 1.24. These figures confirm the higher attacking potential of the Milan club.

It is worth noting that Inter is historically one of the strongest and most titled clubs in Italy. “Nerazzurri” 20 times won the Scudetto, and 9 times won the Cup of the country. “Genoa”, despite the status of the oldest club in Italy, cannot boast similar achievements and mostly acts as a strong mid-table Serie A.

Given the current form of the teams, their historical results and the difference in class, it is highly probable that Inter will continue to dominate the head-to-head encounters with Genoa. For the Genoese to take points away from the Milanese would consequently be a great success, requiring excellent play and a bit of luck.

Predictions for Serie A matches

All predictions for Italian league matches can be found in the section «Serie A Predictions».