Lazio vs Milan match prediction

TABLE WITH ODDS OF POPULAR BOOKMAKERS

Bookmakers	1	X	2	Under 2.5	Over 2.5
	2.66	3.62	2.753	1.985	1.955	Bonus	400$
	2.50	3.40	2.55	1.91	1.91	Bonus	+500%
	2.565	3.48	2.656	1.912	1.888	Bonus	300€
	2.66	3.62	2.753	1.985	1.955	Bonus	+100%
	2.565	3.48	2.656	1.912	1.888	Bonus	90€
	2.6	3.4	2.7	1.92	1.88	Bonus	300$

Lazio and Milan approach the encounter with different moods after the start of the season. Lazio, buoyed by a solid start to the season, are ready to showcase their ambitions at home. Milan, who have had some difficulties at the start of the season, are eager to prove their worth and get back into the fight for the top spot.

Odds for the match Lazio vs Milan

The odds for a Biancocelesti victory are in the range of 2.56-2.66. Marco Baroni’s side always play aggressively at home and try to dictate their own terms. A powerful attacking group is capable of opening up any defence.

At the same time, Milan should not be written off. Odds of 2.65 to 2.75 are offered on the Rossoneri’s victory. The team is famous for its character and ability to achieve results in difficult matches.

The draw is quoted at 3.4-3.62. Given the principality of the confrontation and the unwillingness of the teams to concede to each other, a draw looks a likely result of this meeting.

Quotes for the total match total also look interesting. The odds on the “top” and “bottom” relative to the 2.5 goals mark are approximately equal: 1.88-1.95 for TB and 1.91-1.98 for TM. This suggests that bookmakers do not expect a large number of goals scored, but at the same time they note the attacking potential of the rivals.

Lazio vs Milan Match Prediction

Lazio are showing impressive form at the start of the season. A convincing 3-1 win over Venice in the first leg showed that the attacking potential of the Romans is at a high level. Marco Baroni’s team finished last season with an 8-match unbeaten streak, which shows stability and confidence in their abilities. Home walls are traditionally a fortress for the Biancocelesti, where they play aggressively and seek to dictate their own terms.

Milan, on the contrary, have not started the season so convincingly. A 2-2 draw with Torino in the first leg, where the team heroically bounced back after losing 0-2, showed both the strengths and weaknesses of the Rossoneri. The end of last season for the Milanese was extremely unstable, with only one win in the last 8 matches. This shows that the team still lacks stability and the ability to hold a lead.

The history between Lazio and Milan is an eventful one. The teams have played a total of 186 matches, with the advantage on Milan’s side: 83 wins against Lazio’s 40, with 63 draws. A goal difference of 290-215 in favour of the Rossoneri also underlines their historical superiority.

However, if you look at the last 10 head-to-head meetings, Milan’s dominance becomes even more obvious. “The Rossoneri have won 8, Lazio only 2. At the same time, Milan have scored 19 goals, while Lazio have scored 10. These figures show that recently the Milanese have a clear psychological advantage over the Romans.

Taking into account all the above factors, we can expect a tense and even match. Lazio will have the home field advantage and are in the best shape at the start of the season. However, historically Milan have a superiority in head-to-head encounters, which can put psychological pressure on the Romans.

The most likely outcome is a draw or a win for Milan with a minimal advantage. “The Rossoneri have the character and the ability to get results in difficult matches, which they have repeatedly demonstrated in confrontations with Lazio.

Match prediction: 0 for Milan at 1.95

Recent official meetings

Lazio

Lazio kicked off the new 2024-2025 Serie A season with an emphatic 3-1 home win over elite division newcomers Venice.

In the second round, the Biancocelesti travelled to visit a tough mid-table side Udinese. Last season Lazio and Udinese exchanged away victories with the same score 1:2. The result of the match in the new season: …

The end of last season turned out to be controversial for Lazio. On the one hand, the team finished the championship with an 8-match unbeaten streak, with 5 wins and 3 draws. But successes over Empoli (2-0), Verona (1-0), Genoa (1-0) and Salernitana (4-1) still prevented the Romans from securing their place in the Champions League zone.

Lazio beat Juventus 2-1 at home in the semi-final of the Italian Cup, but earlier lost 2-0 away. The score was 3-2 in favour of the Turin side.

Nevertheless, the start of the new season has been optimistic for the Romans. The games against Udinese and Venice showed that the team’s attack is in good shape.

Milan

Milan started the new Serie A 2024-2025 season with a 2-2 home draw against a tough mid-table side Torino. The team scored a heroic comeback in the final minutes, losing 0:2.

In the second round of the championship, Milan travelled to visit Parma, who have returned to the elite. Last season these teams did not meet, as the Crusaders played in Serie B, but in historical perspective Milan have an impressive advantage in head-to-head encounters. As a result, the score of the meeting: …

The end of last season turned out to be extremely unstable for Milan. In the last 8 matches the team won only 1 victory (5:1 over Cagliari), drew 4 times and suffered 3 defeats.

A 3-3 draw with Salernitana and Sassuolo, a 3-3 draw with Genoa and a 0-0 draw with Juventus prevented the Rossoneri from joining the championship race. And painful defeats to Torino (1-3), Inter (1-2) and Roma (1-2) in the Europa League finally knocked the Milanese out of the rut.

However, Milan still finished in 2nd place in Serie A and will continue their participation in the Champions League.

A draw with Torino at the start of the new league season shows that Milan’s problems have not gone away. The team still lacks stability, concentration and the ability to hold a lead. If these deficiencies are not corrected, the Rossoneri will face another difficult season.

History of head-to-head confrontations

In the last 10 head-to-head meetings between Lazio and Milan, the advantage is on the side of the Rossoneri. Milan have won 8 games, Lazio – 2. Milan have scored 19 goals in these games, while Lazio have scored 10.

Milan’s biggest win in this period was 4-0 in an Italian Cup match on 9 February 2022. Lazio’s most convincing success happened on 24 January 2023 in a Serie A match – 4-0. This result was Milan’s biggest defeat in the last 10 games.

If we look at the whole history of the confrontation between these clubs, the statistics is as follows: a total of 186 matches played, 83 wins for Milan, 40 – for Lazio, 63 draws. The goal difference is 290-215 in Milan’s favour, on average the Rossoneri score 1.56 goals per game, while Lazio score 1.16.

Overall, Milan have a historic advantage over Lazio in both wins and goals scored. In recent years, this advantage has been maintained. Lazio occasionally beat their principal rival, sometimes even big, but in most cases Milan are stronger. The Red-Blacks win more often, score more and concede fewer goals from the Eagles.

Predictions for Serie A matches

All predictions for Italian football championship matches can be found in the section «Serie A Predictions».