Mallorca vs Real Madrid Match Prediction

TABLE WITH ODDS OF POPULAR BOOKMAKERS

Bookmakers	1	X	2	Under 2.5	Over 2.5
	5.1	3.8	1.57	1.77	1.9	Bonus	100%
	6.01	4.215	1.635	1.915	2.028	Bonus	400$
	5.75	4.06	1.575	1.848	1.955	Bonus	90€
	5.6	4.1	1.59	1.8	1.99	Bonus	+500%
	5.75	4.06	1.575	1.848	1.955	Bonus	300€

The first round of La Liga season 24/25 welcomes Spanish football fans with a match between Mallorca and Real Madrid on a picturesque island in the Mediterranean Sea. “Mallorca, who fought hard for survival last season, will try to give a fight to the reigning Spanish champion and one of the giants of world football.

Odds on the match Mallorca – Real Madrid

Bookmakers clearly consider the “creamy” as the favourites of the meeting. The odds for a Madrid victory are in the range of 1.57 to 1.635, indicating a high probability of their success.

Mallorca’s chances of triumph are assessed much more modestly. The odds on the islanders’ victory range from 5.1 to 6.01, which suggests that this outcome is unlikely.

The probability of a draw is also regarded as relatively low. The odds for a draw range from 3.8 to 4.215.

In terms of totals, analysts’ opinions are divided. The odds on the “top” (more than 2.5 goals) are from 1.9 to 2.028, and on the “bottom” (less than 2.5 goals) – from 1.77 to 1.915. This indicates uncertainty about the performance of the match.

Prediction for the match Mallorca – Real Madrid

Madrid are far superior to their opponents in terms of player selection, financial resources, and tournament ambitions. “Cream” will try to seize the initiative from the very first minutes and decide the outcome of the match in their favour.

“Mallorca will face an incredibly difficult test at the start of the season. The Balearics finished last season well on the whole, but they are still noticeably behind Real Madrid in class. The main task for the islanders will be to hold off the Blancos’ initial onslaught and try to catch their chances on the counterattack. However, it will be extremely difficult to do so, given the difference in performance.

The history of face-to-face meetings is also on the side of the Madrid side. In the last 10 matches, Real Madrid have won 8 times, scoring 27 goals against Mallorca and conceding only 7. Especially impressive are the big 6-1 and 4-1 victories of the “creamy” in the past seasons. Real Madrid’s only defeat in the last 11 years dates back to February 2023, but in January 2024 they took a convincing revenge (0:1).

Given the huge difference in class, the current form of the teams, and the history of the rivalry, the most likely outcome of the match is a confident victory for Real Madrid with a 2-3 goal difference. “Cream” is unlikely to be ceremonious with the outsider and will try to please their fans with effective football. It is possible that by halftime, the winner will be eliminated.

Recent official meetings

Mallorca

“Mallorca have spent the end of the 23/24 season with mixed success, with two wins, four draws, and three defeats in their last ten matches in all competitions.

Among the successes of Mallorca, it is worth noting the victories over Getafe (1:2) and Las Palmas (1:0). These results allowed the team to keep their place in La Liga and avoid a nervous ending in the fight for survival.

Draws with Almeria (2:2), Osasuna (1:1), Cadiz (1:1) and Valencia (0:0) can also be credited to Mallorca, given the level of opponents and the tournament situation.

Defeats from Atletico (0:1), Sevilla (2:1) and Real Madrid (0:1) look natural, given the class of opponents, but hardly pleased fans of the Balearic team.

A special mention should be made of the dramatic Spanish Cup final against Atletico, in which Mallorca lost in a penalty shoot-out after a 1-1 draw in regulation time. This result was the main disappointment of the season for the club and its fans.

In general, Mallorca had a good season and managed to keep their place in the elite of Spanish football. The team managed to avoid a prolonged series of failures and show character in key matches. However, for further progress, “Mallorca” will need to strengthen the squad and stabilise the game.

Real Madrid

As for Real Madrid, the Madrid grande dame had a brilliant end to the 23/24 season, not suffering a single defeat in the last ten matches in all tournaments (8 wins and 2 draws).

In La Liga, the Cream scored crucial victories over Alaves (5-0), Granada (0-4), Cadiz (3-0), Real Sociedad (0-1) and Barcelona (3-2). These results allowed Real Madrid to surpass Barça in the championship race and win another title.

Draws with Betis (0-0) and Villarreal (4-4) are also not out of the positive trend, given the strength of the opponents and the spectacularity of the second match.

In the Champions League, Real Madrid demonstrated their championship character by getting past Bayern Munich in the semi-finals (2:2 away and 2:1 at home) and defeating Borussia Dortmund in the final (0:2). This long-awaited trophy was a fitting end to a brilliant season for the Madrid side.

“Real Madrid” once again confirmed its status as a top club and the main force of Spanish football. Carlo Ancelotti’s team demonstrated a balanced and efficient game, which brought success on all fronts. In the new season, the “Cream” will be the main favourites for La Liga and the Champions League.

History of head-to-head confrontations

“Mallorca” and “Real Madrid” – two clubs with a rich history of confrontation in Spanish football. In total, the teams have played 72 matches against each other, and the statistics are unequivocally on the side of the “cream.” “Real” has won 44 victories, “Mallorca” responded with only 16 victories, and another 12 meetings ended in a draw.

The difference in the class of the rivals is particularly noticeable when analysing their performance. On average, Real Madrid score 2.03 goals per game against Mallorca, while the Balearics reply with a modest 0.94 goals per game. In 72 head-to-head matches, Madrid have scored 146 times, while Mallorca have scored 68 goals.

In recent years, Real Madrid have turned their matches against Mallorca into a one-sided beatings. Since October 2012, Madrid has won 8 out of 10 meetings with a total score of 27-7. Particularly painful for the Balearics were the 0-5 defeat in October 2012, 5-2 in March 2013, 6-1 in September 2021, and 4-1 in September 2022.

Mallorca’s last success against Real Madrid dates back to February 2023. Then the Balearics sensationally defeated the “cream” on their field with a score of 1:0, breaking a series of 4 consecutive defeats. However, in the next match (January 2024), Real Madrid took a convincing revenge at the Santiago Bernabeu – 1-0.

Predictions for La Liga matches

All predictions for Spanish league matches can be found in the section «La Liga Predictions».