Newcastle United vs Southampton Match Prediction

TABLE WITH ODDS OF POPULAR BOOKMAKERS

Bookmakers	1	X	2	Under 2.5	Over 2.5
	1.372	5.69	8.2	2.77	1.39	Bonus	+100%
	1.36	4.8	7	2.85	1.38	Bonus	100%
	1.336	5.55	8	2.77	1.39	Bonus	90€
	1.36	5.6	7.6	2.7	1.45	Bonus	+500%
	1.336	5.55	8	2.77	1.39	Bonus	300€

St James’ Park will host Newcastle v Southampton in the first round of the EPL.

For Newcastle, the upcoming match is a great chance to declare their high ambitions. Southampton will resultantly approach the beginning of the season in EPL with the status of a major outsider. Bookmakers do not believe in the “saints”, considering them one of the main candidates for relegation.

Odds on Newcastle United vs Southampton

The home side are the clear favourites for the game, which is eloquently evidenced by the bookmaker quotes. The odds of the victory of the “forty” are only 1.35, which indicates an extremely high probability of their success. “Newcastle”, who became a real discovery two seasons ago and made it to the Champions League, is determined to start in the new championship with a victory in front of their fans.

In contrast, Southampton’s chances of an away win are very modest. The odds of the Saints’ triumph range from 7 to 8, indicating their status as a clear outsider. The team, which has just risen from the Championship, will try to give a fight to a formidable opponent, but objectively the level of Newcastle is seen as much higher.

The bookmakers consider the probability of a draw to be extremely low. The odds for a draw are in the range of 4.8 to 5.6. Even a draw at St James’ Park would be a great achievement for Southampton.

Newcastle United vs Southampton Match Prediction

Newcastle is the undisputed favourite of the confrontation. Bookmakers have little doubt in the victory of the “forty”, offering minimum odds in the region of 1.35.

But Southampton, which has just returned to the top division, is acting as a statistic. The chances of the “saints” are estimated more than modestly – the odds of their success start at 7.6. A newcomer to the EPL will be incredibly difficult to resist played and skilful Newcastle, especially away. For Russell Martin’s men, the main thing will be not to concede too much, and it’s too early to think about the points scored.

It is logical to expect Newcastle to seize the initiative from the start and lay siege to the visitors’ goal. Newcastle’s classy midfield, led by Bruno Guimarães, can shake up any defence, and Aleksandar Isak will surely be eager to open the scoring for the season. If Newcastle score a quick goal, it could turn the game into a real goal-scoring extravaganza. Southampton will have to work very hard to avoid a rout.

Bookmakers are inclined to the “top” score, giving slightly lower odds on TB (3.5) than on TM. Given Newcastle’s attacking potential and the defensive problems of the EPL newcomer, a bet on high performance looks justified.

Recent official meetings

Newcastle United

In their last ten matches, the Magpies have six wins, two draws and only two defeats.

Eddie Howe’s wards showed spectacular football at the end of the championship. Big wins over Brentford (4:2), Burnley (4:1), Sheffield United (5:1) and West Ham (4:3) became a real jewel of the season for Newcastle fans. The team played attacking football and scored a lot of goals.

The 4-0 victory over Tottenham was particularly impressive. Newcastle completely outplayed their opponents and scored one of the most brilliant victories of the season.

The only failures for the “forty” were defeats from Manchester United (2:3) and Crystal Palace (0:2). However, even in these matches Newcastle showed a decent game and fought to the end, which speaks about the character and mentality of the team.

The draws with Brighton (1:1) and Everton (1:1) can also be credited to Newcastle. “Magpies” managed to take points away from the strong mid-table Premier League and maintain their place at the top of the standings.

Southampton

Southampton have completed the 2023/24 season in Championships, regaining their place in the Premier League. In the last ten matches, the Saints won six, lost three and drew once.

The team had an impressive end of the season with several crucial victories. Successes against direct rivals Leeds (1-0 and 2-1) and West Bromwich (3-1) were key in the fight for promotion to the Premier League. Southampton showed character and skill, managing to defeat strong opponents in decisive meetings.

Also worth noting are confident victories over Preston (3:0), Watford (3:2) and Coventry City (2:1). In these matches, the Saints demonstrated quality football and proved that they are one of the strongest teams in the Championship.

However, it was not without setbacks. Defeats from Stoke City (0:1), Leicester (0:5) and Cardiff (1:2) were unpleasant moments at the end of the season. Especially painful was the defeat by the Foxes, which showed that Southampton still had work to do in terms of stability and reliability of the defence.

A 0-0 draw with West Bromwich (0-0) in the first leg of the play-off semi-final was no big deal as the Saints managed to win the return leg and reach the final.

Southampton beat Leeds 1-0 in the decisive match at Wembley to seal their return to the Premier League. This success was a well-deserved reward for a team that showed character and determination at the end of the season.

History of head-to-head confrontations

The last 10 matches between Newcastle and Southampton show a clear advantage of the “forty”. Newcastle have won 8 victories, Southampton have won only once, and one match ended in a draw. In these meetings Newcastle scored 20 goals, and Southampton – only 11.

Newcastle’s victories in November 2022 (4-1) and April 2023 (3-1) were particularly impressive. “Magpies” demonstrated their superiority in both home and away matches against Southampton.

Newcastle’s success in the English League Cup in the 2022/23 season is also worth noting. “Magpies” twice beat Southampton (1:0 and 2:1) on the tournament route.

The only victory of Southampton in the last face-to-face meetings was the match in November 2020 (2-0). However, after that, the “saints” cannot beat Newcastle for 7 games already.

As for the overall history of the confrontation, there is also a noticeable advantage of Newcastle. Out of 108 matches, the Magpies have won 46, while Southampton have won 38. At the same time, Newcastle have scored 166 goals, while Southampton have scored 147.

On average, Newcastle scored 1.54 goals per match, while Southampton scored 1.36. These figures confirm the Forties’ historic superiority in attacking power.

Predictions for Premier League matches

All predictions for English league matches can be found in the section «Premier League Predictions».