Parma vs Fiorentina Match Prediction
TABLE WITH ODDS OF POPULAR BOOKMAKERS
“Parma and Fiorentina will play their first official match of the new season. The teams have different objectives, but both are determined to start with a win. “Fiorentina are seen as favourites, but Parma should not be underestimated on their field.
Odds for Parma vs Fiorentina
Fiorentina looks a slight favourite for the match. The odds of the guests’ victory are in the range of 2.225 to 2.308. Bookmakers consider Fiorentina more likely to win than Parma, but their advantage is not overwhelming.
Parma, for its part, is not a clear outsider. The odds for a win for the home team range from 3.00 to 3.25. Although these values are higher than the odds for a Fiorentina win, they are not high enough to consider Parma’s chances impossible. The team will play on their home field and will try to use this advantage to get a positive result.
The odds for a draw are estimated at 3.20 to 3.64. These values are comparable to the odds for a Parma win, which suggests that the probability of a draw is seen as quite realistic. Perhaps the teams will act cautiously, trying not to lose first and foremost, and this could lead to a draw.
Odds on the match total indicate that bookmakers expect an average performance. Odds for a total of more than 2.5 goals are priced at 1.88-1.97, and for a total of less than 2.5 goals at 1.80-1.97.
Parma vs Fiorentina Match Prediction
The most likely outcome of the game is a Fiorentina victory. “Fiorentina have a better selection of players than Parma and have a track record of success in Serie A and European competitions, which should be an advantage. In addition, Vincenzo Italiano’s side had a brilliant end to last season, showing great form.
“Parma, of course, will try to use the factor of their field and the support of the fans. Last season, the Crusaders showed good results and may well cause problems for Fiorentina, especially if they play their best football. However, to succeed against such a serious opponent, the hosts will need to produce a perfect match.
With a high probability, the game will be productive. Both teams have an attacking style and have players capable of creating pressure at the back of the net. Moreover, the history of face-to-face encounters shows that Parma and Fiorentina are rarely short of goals. Most likely, the spectators will see at least 2-3 goals scored.
Match prediction: total more than 2 for 1.42
Recent official meetings
Parma
In the last 10 matches, Parma wards have won 4 wins, drawn 5 times and suffered only 1 defeat. These statistics show that Parma has been a difficult opponent for most Serie B teams.
A special mention should be made of the Crusaders’ impressive winning streak at the end of April. A 4-0 defeat of Lecco, 2-0 victories over La Spezia and 2-1 over Feralpisalo, and a 2-1 win over Brescia showed that Parma can and do play attacking football, creating plenty of chances.
However, in other matches, the Crusaders did not look so bright. Draws with Cremonese (1-1), Bari (1-1), Palermo (0-0) and Südtirol (0-0) showed that Parma sometimes lacks inventiveness and sharpness in attack, especially against teams playing from the defence.
Parma’s only failure was a 0-2 away defeat to Catanzaro. In this match, the Crusaders looked unrecognisable – sluggish in attack, unsure in defence and unconvincing in one-on-one battles. It seemed that the team took to the pitch without the proper attitude and motivation.
Date
Tournament
Opponent
Result
10.05.24
B series
Rejana
1:1 Draw
05.05.24
B series
Cremonese
1:1 Draw
01.05.24
B series
Bari
1:1 Draw
27.04.24
B series
Lecco
4:0 Victory
19.04.24
B series
Palermo
0:0 Draw
13.04.24
B series
Spice
2:0 Victory
06.04.24
B series
Südtirol
0:0 Draw
01.04.24
B series
Catanzaro
0:2 Defeat
16.03.24
B series
Feralpisalo
1:2 Victory
09.03.24
B series
Brescia
2:1 Victory
Fiorentina
In the final ten meetings, Vincenzo Italiano’s wards won 5 wins, drew 2 times and suffered 3 defeats. Two of the defeats came in cup matches – from Atalanta (1:4) in the Italian Cup and from Olympiacos (0:1) in the final of the Conference League. Nevertheless, these setbacks do not overshadow Fiorentina’s successful performance at the end of the season.
Big wins over Sassuolo (5:1), Cagliari (3:2) and Monza (2:1), as well as a draw with Napoli (2:2), showed that the team Italiano is in great shape and can fight on equal terms with the leaders of the championship.
Fiorentina’s performance in the Conference League is particularly noteworthy. “The Violets managed to reach the final of the tournament, beating Maccabi Haifa, Viktoria Plzen and Brugge along the way. Even though they lost to Olympiakos in the decisive match, reaching the final of the European Cup can be considered a great achievement for the club.
Date
Tournament
Opponent
Result
02.06.24
Serie A
Atalanta
2:3 Victory
30.05.24
Conference League
Olympiacos
0:0 (1:0 loss in extra time)
23.05.24
Serie A
Cagliari
2:3 Victory
17.05.24
Serie A
Napoli
2:2 Draw
13.05.24
Serie A
Monza
2:1 Victory
08.05.24
Conference League
Bruges
1:1 Draw
05.05.24
Serie A
Verona
2:1 Defeat
03.05.24
Conference League
Bruges
3:2 Victory
28.04.24
Serie A
Sassuolo
5:1 Victory
25.04.24
Itaoi Cup
Atalanta
4:1 Defeat
History of head-to-head confrontations
Analysing the last 10 matches between Parma and Fiorentina shows that the teams are playing evenly, with Fiorentina having a slight advantage. In these meetings Fiorentina won 3 matches, Parma won 2, and 5 matches ended in a draw.
The last official meeting between the teams took place in December 2023 in the Italian Cup and ended in a 2-2 draw – Fiorentina came out on top in a penalty shootout (3-2). In July 2023, the teams then drew in a friendly match (1-1).
In the Italian championship, the last face-to-face meetings between Parma and Fiorentina ended in draws: 3:3 in March 2021 and 0:0 in November 2020. And in July 2020, Fiorentina won a 2-1 away victory.
If we look at the history of these teams, they have played 66 matches against each other. “Fiorentina” has a slight advantage with 22 wins against 18 for “Parma”. At the same time, the Fiallese have scored 85 goals, while the Crusaders have scored 72.
On average, Fiorentina score 1.29 goals per match, while Parma score 1.09. This suggests that historically the matches between these teams have been quite hard-fought and competitive.
Date
Tournament
Winner
Account
07.12.23
Italian Cup
Tie
2:2 (3:2 win for Fiorentina on penalties)
20.07.23
Friendly match
Tie
1:1
07.03.21
Serie A
Tie
3:3
08.11.20
Serie A
Tie
0:0
05.07.20
Serie A
Fiorentina
1:2
03.11.19
Serie A
Tie
1:1
19.05.19
Serie A
Parma
1:0
26.12.18
Serie A
Parma
0:1
13.08.17
Friendly match
Tie
0:0
18.05.15
Serie A
Fiorentina
3:0
Predictions for Serie A matches
All predictions for Italian league matches can be found in the section «Serie A Predictions».