Manchester United vs Liverpool 3nd round Premier League match prediction

TABLE WITH ODDS OF POPULAR BOOKMAKERS

Bookmakers	1	X	2	Under 2.5	Over 2.5
	4.235	4.235	1.806	2.8	1.43	Bonus	400$
	4.12	4.12	1.76	2.8	1.43	Bonus	300€
	4	4.15	1.78	2.8	1.43	Bonus	300$
	3.60	3.90	1.90	2.75	1.44	Bonus	+500%
	4.235	4.235	1.806	2.8	1.43	Bonus	+100%
	4.12	4.12	1.76	2.8	1.43	Bonus	90€

Manchester United takes on Liverpool in the centre match of the 3rd round of the APL season 2024-2025. Both teams started the season with victories – United beat Fulham 1-0, and Liverpool defeated Ipswich Town 2-0. Now the teams will have to test their strengths in a face-to-face encounter.

Odds for Manchester United vs Liverpool

Manchester United, with odds of around 4.2 to win, are not considered favourites in this confrontation. According to bookmakers’ estimates, the probability of the Red Devils’ triumph is about 24%.

As for Liverpool, the odds for a Merseyside victory are around 1.8 (the probability of success is about 56%). Liverpool, who have a star-studded squad and a well-established playing system, will be determined to get three points at the stadium of their principal rival. However, it will not be an easy ride.

Interestingly, the odds for a draw are almost identical to a Manchester United win – around 4.2 (about 24% probability). In a match of this intensity, a draw is likely, especially if the teams are cautious of conceding.

Turning to the total of goals, bookmakers are inclined to the fact that fans will see a goal extravaganza. The odds for a total of more than 2.5 goals are around 1.43, which indicates a high probability of a successful match (about 70%). On the other hand, the odds for a total of less than 2.5 goals are around 2.8 (about 36% probability). Considering the attacking potential of both teams, betting on a top match looks tempting.

Manchester United vs Liverpool Match Prediction

Liverpool approaches the derby with the status of favourites. Arne Slot’s team have made a good start to the new season, beating Ipswich Town 2-0 away. “Reds” have retained their core squad and are surely determined to join the fight for the title from the first rounds. Liverpool has a terrific attacking power, led by Mohamed Salah, which is reflected in the bookmakers’ odds for a 2.5-goal total.

At the same time, Manchester United started the season with a hard-fought 1-0 win over Fulham. In pre-season matches, the Red Devils also did not impress with their performance. However, it should not be forgotten that MJ is a formidable force on their home field. 

The history of face-to-face meetings suggests a slight advantage of MJ (85 wins against 71 for Liverpool). However, recently the Reds have looked more favourable. Over the 10 previous matches, Liverpool won 4 victories with a resounding score of 7:0, 4:0 and 5:0, MJ won 4 times, and 2 games ended in a draw.

Match prediction: Liverpool win at odds of 1.8

Alternative prediction: a total of more than 2.5 goals at odds of 1.43.

Recent official meetings

Manchester United

Manchester United kicked off the new 2024-2025 Premier League season with a 1-0 win over Fulham. The second-round match against Brighton ended.

In August, Manchester United took part in the match for the Super Cup of England, where they met the principal rival Manchester City. The main time ended in a 1-1 draw, but in the penalty shootout luck was on the side of the “citizens”. Despite the defeat, the game of MU left a pleasant impression.

The FA Cup final for the 2023-2024 season was a triumph for Manchester United. In the decisive match, the Red Devils defeated Manchester City 2-1 and won the honourable trophy. This victory was a real celebration for the fans of the team.

The end of the last Premier League championship turned out to be successful for MU. The team won three victories in the last four rounds – over Brighton (2:0), Newcastle (3:2) and Sheffield United (4:2). Especially impressive was the defeat of Sheffield United, which demonstrated the attacking potential of the Red Devils.

However, it was not without setbacks. MJ lost to Arsenal (0:1) and lost big to Crystal Palace with the score 0:4. The team also played a draw with the outsider Burnley (1:1). These misfires did not allow the Red Devils to join the fight for the league championship place.

Liverpool

Liverpool entered the new 2024-2025 Premier League season with a confident victory over tournament newcomer Ipswich Town. The match ended 2-0 in favour of the Reds, which was a great start to the campaign. The meeting with solid mid-table Brentford has come to an end.

The end of the previous season 2023-2024 turned out to be controversial for Merseyside. The team gained important victories over Wolverhampton (2:0), Tottenham (4:2) and Fulham (3:1). These three victories helped Liverpool to finish the championship in the Champions League zone.

On the other hand, the Reds lost a lot of points in matches where they were considered favourites. Liverpool drew with Aston Villa (3:3) and West Ham (2:2) and sensationally lost to Everton (0:2) in the Merseyside derby. These misfires did not allow the team to join the fight for the championship title.

In April 2024, Liverpool finished runners-up in the Europa League, knocked out by Atalanta. The team achieved an away win with a score of 1-0. However, it had previously lost 0:3 at home.

History of head-to-head confrontations

Liverpool and Manchester United are two of the greatest clubs in the history of English football, whose confrontation is one of the most fundamental. In 216 face-to-face meetings, Manchester United have won 85 victories, while Liverpool has won 71, which demonstrates a slight historical advantage for the Red Devils. The teams have scored a total of 586 goals: 297 for United (1.38 per game on average) and 289 for Liverpool (1.34 on average).

However, analysing the last 10 matches between these teams in the Premier League, FA Cup and friendlies shows an interesting picture. Liverpool has 4 wins, Manchester United have won 4 times, including a triumph in extra time in an FA Cup match, and 2 games ended in a draw.

Four or more goals have been scored in 8 matches, with Liverpool defeating their principal rival on three occasions by scores of 7-0, 4-0 and 5-0.

It is worth noting that recently the results of face-to-face meetings have become less predictable. If Manchester United used to dominate in this confrontation, now Liverpool looks at least an equal opponent, capable of beating the Red Devils even on their field.

Predictions for Premier League matches

All predictions for English league matches can be found in the section «Premier League Predictions».