Newcastle vs Tottenham 3nd round Premier League match prediction

TABLE WITH ODDS OF POPULAR BOOKMAKERS

Bookmakers	1	X	2	Under 2.5	Over 2.5
	2.291	4.035	2.927	2.9	1.4	Bonus	400$
	2.232	3.92	2.85	2.9	1.4	Bonus	300€
	2.2	4.05	2.85	2.9	1.4	Bonus	300$
	2.20	4	2.75	3.2	1.36	Bonus	+500%
	2.291	4.035	2.927	2.9	1.4	Bonus	+100%
	2.232	3.92	2.85	2.9	1.4	Bonus	90€

In the third round of the Premier League, there will be a match between Newcastle and Tottenham. “Magpies” finished the last championship on the rise, winning several major victories. “Spurs” seek to rehabilitate after a disappointing finish.

Eddie Howe has turned Newcastle into a formidable force, especially at home. Meanwhile, Tottenham, led by Angelos Postecoglou, aim to improve their game and qualify for the Champions League zone.

Odds for Newcastle vs Tottenham

Newcastle, playing on their home field, are seen as favourites. The odds for the home side to win range from 2.2 to 2.3. The support of the home stands and good performances in recent matches could be important factors in Newcastle’s favour.

Tottenham, in turn, has the odds for victory around 2.9. The team from London has enough potential to impose a struggle on the opponent and achieve a positive result.

The probability of a draw is estimated at odds of about 4.0. In case of careful play of both teams and equal fight, a draw can become a natural outcome of the confrontation.

As for the performance of the match, bookmakers are inclined to the top scenario. The odds of a total of more than 2.5 goals are 1.4. Given the attacking potential of Newcastle and Tottenham, expectations of a goal extravaganza look justified. On the other hand, the odds of a total of less than 2.5 goals is 2.9, which cannot be completely ruled out.

Newcastle vs Tottenham Match Prediction

Newcastle under Eddie Howe has turned into a strong and ambitious team. The Magpies are especially dangerous on their pitch, where with the support of the fans can give a fight to any opponent. Last season Newcastle won several big victories, defeating Burnley (4:1), Sheffield (5:1) and Tottenham (4:0). Obviously, the team will be looking to please their fans in the upcoming game against the London club.

On the other hand, Tottenham are eager to rehabilitate themselves for last season’s failure. “Spurs” were left without the Champions League largely due to the failure of the end of the championship, when the team suffered 4 defeats in 5 matches. Angelos Postecoglou was appointed as head coach to return the club to the top-4, and he will surely do his best to start the season on a positive note. However, to do so, they need to correct their defensive errors, as it was the defensive problems that caused Tottenham to concede a lot of goals at the end of last season.

The history of head-to-head confrontations suggests a slight advantage for Tottenham (74 wins against 62 for Newcastle). However, recently the Magpies look more favourable. Over the previous 10 matches, Newcastle have won 4 victories, including 2 big ones – 6:1 and 4:0. Games between these rivals are often productive – in 7 out of 10 meetings 4 or more goals were scored.

Accounting for the current form of the teams, the home field factor and the history of face-to-face confrontation, my prediction for the match is that Newcastle will win with odds of 2.291.

Recent official meetings

Newcastle

Newcastle started the 2024-2025 season in the Premier League with a minimal victory over Southampton. The meeting with Bournemouth was a real test for the club. Final score:

The end of the previous season 2023-2024 turned out to be successful for the “forty”, despite the offensive defeat from Manchester United (2:3). Across the last round Newcastle defeated Brentford away with a score of 4:2, which led to a great end for the championship. This victory allowed the team to consolidate at the top of the standings.

The Magpies also picked up three major victories – over Burnley (4-1), Sheffield United (5-1) and Tottenham (4-0).

In addition, Eddie Howe’s team achieved important victories over Fulham (1:0) and drew with a strong Brighton (1:1). An unfavourable defeat from Crystal Palace with the score 0:2.

 Tottenham

The new 2024-2025 Premier League season for Tottenham started with matches against Everton and Leicester. These meetings were a serious test for Angelos Postecoglou’s team, who struggled to qualify for the European Cup last season. 

In the last round of the previous championship 2023-2024, the team defeated Sheffield United with a score of 3:0, but by that time Spurs had already lost their chances of qualifying for the Champions League. This result was a kind of consolation for the fans after a series of failures.

The key period that predetermined Tottenham’s failure in the fight for the top four was the end of April and the beginning of May 2024. During this time, the team suffered four defeats in five matches, and three of them were with a dry score. “Spurs” lost to Newcastle (0:4), Liverpool (2:4), Chelsea (0:2) and Manchester City (0:2). The only bright spot was a 2-1 win over Burnley.

The London derby against Arsenal was unsuccessful for Tottenham. The team was losing 0:3, scoring 2 goals, but still lost 2:3. This match was largely decisive in the fight for a place in the Champions League.

Undoubtedly, last season was unsuccessful for Spurs. The team failed to impose the fight against the grandees of English football and, as a result, was left without a ticket to the main club tournament in Europe. To improve the situation, Tottenham need to strengthen the squad and improve the defensive play, because the problems in defence were the main reason for the defeat at the end of the championship.

History of head-to-head confrontations

Tottenham and Newcastle are two famous English clubs with a rich history of confrontation. In 171 head-to-head meetings, Tottenham have 74 wins, while Newcastle have won 62 matches, which suggests a slight advantage for Spurs in the historical aspect. In total, the teams have scored 531 goals: 278 for Tottenham (1.63 per game on average) and 253 for Newcastle (1.48 on average).

Analysing the last 10 matches between these teams, including Premier League meetings and friendly play, shows an interesting dynamic. Newcastle have won 4 times, Tottenham have also won 4 times, and 2 matches ended in a draw.

In these 10 matches, the teams demonstrated consistent, effective football. In 7 matches 4 or more goals were scored. Particularly noteworthy is Newcastle’s big 6-1 victory in April 2023 and Tottenham’s 5-1 defeat in April 2022.

Newcastle looks favoured in head-to-head meetings recently, having picked up 4 wins in their last 5 matches against Tottenham.

Predictions for Premier League matches

All predictions for English league matches can be found in the section «Premier League Predictions».