West Ham vs Aston Villa Match Prediction

TABLE WITH ODDS OF POPULAR BOOKMAKERS

Bookmakers	1	X	2	Under 2.5	Over 2.5
	2.534	3.905	2.666	2.39	1.51	Bonus	+100%
	2.45	3.25	2.65	2.35	1.48	Bonus	100%
	2.47	3.8	2.6	2.39	1.51	Bonus	90€
	2.55	3.6	2.6	2.35	1.58	Bonus	+500%
	2.47	3.8	2.6	2.39	1.51	Bonus	300€

In the first round of the new season of the English Premier League 2024/25 there will be a London derby – West Ham will host Aston Villa. Both teams finished the last championship not in the best way, facing several game problems. West Ham failed in both the EPL and Europa League, with only 2 wins in their last 10 matches. Aston Villa, despite their long-awaited qualification for the Champions League, have also performed erratically, alternating bright victories with painful defeats.

Odds on the match West Ham – Aston Villa

Bookmakers assess the teams’ chances of success as almost equal. The odds on the Hammers’ victory lie in the range from 2.4 to 2.55. West Ham are always dangerous on their home field, especially with the support of the home stands.

However, Aston Villa are not going to sit back in defence. Birmingham will make every effort to start the championship successfully. Odds for their away win range from 2.6 to 2.65, which suggests that the Villans have a good chance of taking three points away from the London Stadium.

Bookmakers do not rule out a draw. Odds for a draw range from 3.25 to 3.8. Last season, one of the meetings between these rivals ended in a draw, so such an outcome seems quite likely.

West Ham vs Aston Villa Match Prediction

West Ham finished last season poorly, with only 2 wins in the last 10 matches. The team had problems in defence, as evidenced by big defeats from Chelsea (0:5) and Crystal Palace (2:5). However, the Hammers are always dangerous at home and will be determined to start the new season with a win.

Aston Villa, in turn, also had a mixed performance at the end of the last championship. The team alternated bright victories with humiliating defeats. The defeat from Crystal Palace (0:5) in the last round left an unpleasant residue. But in general, the “Lions” showed quality football and managed to qualify for the Champions League for the first time in a long time.

The history of face-to-face confrontations suggests a slight advantage of West Ham. In the last 10 matches “Hammers” have won 5 victories against only 1 from Aston Villa. However, the last two meetings showed that Birmingham found the key to West Ham’s defence – a 1-1 draw and a 4-1 win.

Considering the almost equal chances of the teams, the current game problems of West Ham and the recent results of face-to-face meetings, the most likely outcome of the match is a draw. Aston Villa will try to continue their successful series against the Hammers, while West Ham will do their best to cling for points at home.

Bookmakers also expect a productive football in this match. The odds on the “top” (more than 2.5 goals) are significantly lower than on the “bottom”. Given the attacking potential of both teams and West Ham’s problems in defence, this forecast looks justified.

Recent official meetings

West Ham

West Ham ended the 2023/24 season extremely poorly, facing serious problems both in the league and on the international stage. “The Hammers managed only two wins in their last ten matches in all competitions while suffering five defeats and three draws.

The main disappointment for the team was the performance in the Europa League. West Ham lost to Bayer on aggregate of two matches (2-0 and 1-1), dropping out of the tournament at the quarter-final stage.

In the Premier League, the Hammers are not doing well either. Major defeats from Chelsea (0:5) and Crystal Palace (2:5) exposed the problems in the defence of the team. West Ham conceded a lot of goals and could not find a balance between attack and defence.

The only bright spots were victories over Luton Town (3:1) and Wolverhampton (2:1). However, these successes were not enough to correct the overall picture of the team’s performance at the end of the season.

The draws against Liverpool (2:2) and Tottenham (1:1) can be seen as missed opportunities. West Ham failed to keep the advantage in these matches and missed important points in the fight for the top spots.

Aston Villa

Aston Villa finished the 2023/24 season qualifying for the Champions League for the first time in a long time. In their last ten matches in all competitions, the Lions have won three, lost five and drawn twice.

The main disappointment for Unai Emery’s team was the performance in the Conference League. Aston Villa lost to Olympiacos on aggregate of two matches (2:4 and 0:2), dropping out of the tournament at the semi-final stage. This was particularly frustrating given that the Lions had earlier managed to dramatically pass Lille in the quarter-finals after a penalty shoot-out.

In the Premier League, Aston Villa’s results were also mixed. The defeat of Crystal Palace (0:5) in the final round was a real shock for the team and its fans. Furthermore, the “Lions” lost to Brighton (0:1) and failed to hold on to victory in the match with Liverpool (3:3).

However, there were some positive moments. Aston Villa won important victories over Bournemouth (3:1) and Arsenal (2:0), showing that they can beat strong opponents. A draw with Chelsea (2:2) can be considered a decent result.

In general, the season turned out to be ambiguous for Aston Villa. The team demonstrated quality football and achieved bright victories, but at the same time allowed offensive misfires and lost points in key matches.

History of head-to-head confrontations

Analysing the last 10 head-to-head matches between West Ham and Aston Villa, we can see that the advantage is on the side of the “Hammers”. West Ham had 5 wins, Aston Villa – 1, and 4 matches ended in a draw. In these games West Ham scored 16 goals, and Aston Villa – 11.

West Ham’s superiority was particularly evident between December 2020 and August 2022, when the Hammers won 5 matches in a row, scoring a total of 12 goals and conceding only 4. This suggests that during that period West Ham found effective tactical solutions against Aston Villa and dominated the head-to-head encounters.

However, there has been a slump in West Ham’s play against Aston Villa in the last two matches. In October 2023, the Hammers lost 1-4 and in March 2024, they drew 1-1. Aston Villa began to find ways to counter West Ham’s strengths.

If we look at the entire history of confrontations, then here the advantage is also on the side of West Ham, although not so clear. Out of 121 matches, the Hammers have won 46 times, while Aston Villa have won 39. The difference in goals scored is minimal: West Ham have scored 185 goals, while Aston Villa have scored 176.

On average, West Ham score 1.53 goals per game, while Aston Villa score 1.45. This indicates that historically the matches between these teams have been evenly matched with the Hammers having a slight advantage in attack.

Predictions for Premier League matches

All predictions for English league matches can be found in the section «Premier League Predictions».