Aston Villa vs Arsenal 2nd round Premier League match prediction
TABLE WITH ODDS OF POPULAR BOOKMAKERS
The upcoming match between Aston Villa and Arsenal is attracting the attention of football fans for its unpredictability and potential spectacle. Playing at home stadium “Villa Park”, Aston Villa will try to continue their recent successful series against the London grandee. Arsenal on the other hand, having shown good form at the start of the season, is looking to consolidate their position in the championship race from the start of the season.
Odds for Aston Villa vs Arsenal
Aston Villa is considered an outsider in this match, with the odds to win being around 4.0. Bookmakers estimate the probability of Aston Villa’s victory at about 25%. The team will play on their field, which may give them an advantage, but the difference in class between the rivals is significant.
Alternatively, the arches are favourites with the odds of winning at around 1.9. This corresponds to a win probability of 53%. Arsenal have shown good form in recent matches and have a stronger squad compared to Aston Villa. However, playing away, they will have to make efforts to achieve a win.
The draw in this match is estimated at odds of about 3.8, which corresponds to a probability of about 26%. Such an outcome is possible if Aston Villa offers a decent resistance and contains Arsenal’s attacking potential.
The odds on the total of goals are equally interesting. Bookmakers consider it more likely that more than 2.5 goals will be scored in the match (odds 1.7-1.8) than less (odds 2.1-2.2). This indicates the expectation of a productive match.
In general, Arsenal are favourites and have a good chance to win. However, Aston Villa will persist in trying to take advantage of the home field.
Aston Villa vs Arsenal Match Prediction
Despite Arsenal’s historic advantage in the overall standings, Aston Villa have shown significant progress in recent matches.
Aston Villa have won their last two matches against Arsenal, with them keeping their goal intact.
It is worth noting that in six of the last ten face-to-face meetings, the winner scored at least two goals. This may indicate the likelihood of a resultant match. Bookmakers consider Arsenal as favourites, offering odds of around 1.9 on their victory, while Aston Villa are seen as outsiders with odds of around 4.0. However, given Aston Villa’s recent successes in home matches against Arsenal, these odds may not fully reflect the real balance of power.
Taking all factors into account, we can expect a tense and competitive match. The most likely outcome is a hard-fought Arsenal victory, possibly with a score of 2-1. However, we should not rule out the possibility of a draw or even an unexpected victory for Aston Villa, if the team manages to repeat their recent successful performances against Arsenal at home.
Prediction for the match: a total of more than 2.5 goals, with odds of 1.71.
Recent official meetings
Aston Villa
The start of the 2024-2025 season in the Premier League for Aston Villa was marked by a 2-1 victory over West Ham. The team showed character and managed to snatch three points in a difficult match, which shows that they are ready to fight for high places in the new season.
The end of the last season 2023-2024 for Aston Villa turned out to be ambiguous. On the one hand, the team suffered a crushing defeat to Crystal Palace with a score of 0:5, which was one of the biggest defeats of the club in the season. Opposingly, Emery’s men managed to draw 3-3 with the formidable Liverpool.
In the Conference League, Aston Villa failed to succeed, losing twice to Olympiacos (0:2 and 2:4), which led to their relegation from the tournament. This was a disappointment for the club and its fans, as the team had hoped to go as far as possible in the European Cup.
April 2024 turned out to be successful for Aston Villa in the Premier League. The team won important victories over Bournemouth (3:1) and Arsenal (2:0), and managed to draw with Chelsea (2:2). The only unsuccessful match in this stretch was the home defeat from Brighton with the score 0:1.
In general, the end of last season showed that Aston Villa can compete on equal terms with the top clubs of the Premier League and achieve good results. The start of the new season 2024-2025 turned out to be successful, and if the team manages to maintain a winning attitude, it will be able to fight for high places in the standings.
Date
Tournament
Opponent
Result
17.08.24
Premier League
West Ham
1:2 Victory
19.05.24
Premier League
Crystal Palace
5:0 Defeat
14.05.24
Premier League
Liverpool
3:3 Draw
10.05.24
Conference League
Olympiacos
2:0 Defeat
05.05.24
Premier League
Brighton
1:0 Defeat
03.05.24
Conference League
Olympiacos
2:4 Defeat
28.04.24
Premier League
Chelsea
2:2 Draw
21.04.24
Premier League
Bournemouth
3:1 Victory
18.04.24
Conference League
Lille
2:1 Defeat (penalty shootout)
14.04.24
Premier League
Arsenal
0:2 Victory
Arsenal
Arsenal have had a busy stretch of the season, playing 10 official matches in the Premier League and Champions League. The team showed decent results, demonstrating quality football.
In 10 matches Arsenal won 7 wins, suffered 2 defeats and drew 1 time. In the Premier League, the team won 7 out of 8 meetings, losing only once to Aston Villa (0:2). Especially important were victories over direct rivals – Tottenham (2:3), Chelsea (5:0) and Manchester United (0:1). Arsenal met Bayern twice in the Champions League, losing 1-0 away and drawing 2-2 at home.
Arsenal’s attack has been effective, scoring 18 goals in 7 wins. In 6 of these games, the team distinguished themselves more than 2 times. It should be noted that the Canaries failed to hit the opponents’ goal in only 2 out of 10 matches.
Furthermore, Arsenal’s defence left a pleasant impression. In 8 Premier League matches, the team conceded only 6 goals. This speaks about the balance of the Canaries’ game, capable of actively attacking whilst reliably defending.
Date
Tournament
Opponent
Result
17.08.24
Premier League
Wolverhampton
2:0 Victory
19.05.24
Premier League
Everton
2:1 Victory
12.05.24
Premier League
Manchester United
0:1 Victory
04.05.24
Premier League
Bournemouth
3:0 Victory
28.04.24
Premier League
Tottenham
2:3 Victory
24.04.24
Premier League
Chelsea
5:0 Victory
20.04.24
Premier League
Wolverhampton
0:2 Victory
18.04.24
Champions League
Bavaria
1:0 Defeat
14.04.24
Premier League
Aston Villa
0:2 Defeat
10.04.24
Champions League
Bavaria
2:2 Draw
History of head-to-head confrontations
The traditional confrontation between two famous English clubs, Aston Villa and Arsenal, always attracts the attention of football fans. In the long history of meetings between these teams, which already number 203 matches, Arsenal managed to win 87 victories against 71 for Aston Villa, scoring 329 goals (average 1.62 per game) and conceding 281 goals (1.38 on average).
However, if we consider the last 10 head-to-head matches in the Premier League, we can notice an interesting trend. Aston Villa have 4 wins, while Arsenal have won 6 meetings, with no draws recorded. It is noteworthy that in 6 of these 10 matches, the winner scored at least 2 goals.
It is worth noting Aston Villa’s home-field advantage: the Birmingham club have won 3 out of 5 home games, while Arsenal have only won 2 out of 5 away games. Moreover, in the last two matches, Aston Villa took the upper hand, both times leaving their gates intact.
Despite Arsenal’s historic advantage in head-to-head encounters, it cannot be denied that Aston Villa have been making impressive progress of late, especially with the support of the home stands.
Date
Tournament
Winner
Account
14.09.24
Premier League
Aston Villa
0:2
09.12.23
Premier League
Aston Villa
1:0
18.02.23
Premier League
Arsenal
2:4
31.08.22
Premier League
Arsenal
2:1
19.03.22
Premier League
Arsenal
0:1
23.10.21
Premier League
Arsenal
3:1
06.02.21
Premier League
Aston Villa
1:0
09.11.20
Premier League
Aston Villa
0:3
22.07.20
Premier League
Aston Villa
1:0
22.09.19
Premier League
Arsenal
3:2
Predictions for Premier League matches
All predictions for English league matches can be found in the section «Premier League Predictions».